[Freemanlist2] Strategic Reality of Israel - Maj.-Gen. Amir Eshel - Vol. 12, No. 14

Freeman Center For Strategic Studies bernards at sbcglobal.net
Wed Jun 13 13:48:30 CDT 2012


For Zion's sake I will not hold my peace 
and for Jerusalem's sake I will not rest." Isaiah 62.


P.O. Box 35661 * Houston, Texas 77235-5661
* E-mail: bernards at sbcglobal.net
OUR WEB SITE (URL): < www.freeman.org >
THE MACCABEAN ONLINE: URL:http:// www.freeman. org/online. htm 
Freeman Center Blog http://www. freeman.org/ serendipity /

Ignorance Is Weakness - Know The Truth
Self-Inflicted Ignorance Is Suicide
The Freeman Center Is A Defense Against Ignorance

"First They Came for the Jews" 
By Pastor Niemoller

First they came for the Jews and I did not speak out because I was not a Jew.

Then they came for the Communists and I did not speak out because I was not a Communist.

Then they came for the trade unionists and I did not speak out because I was not a trade unionist.

Then they came for me and there was no one left to speak out for me. 
"But when they come for me today, I will destroy them"...Bernard
Please contribute to The Freeman Center's essential educational activities. 
Mail check to address above or by paypal:

--- On Wed, 6/13/12, Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs <briefmail at list-jcpa.org> wrote:

From: Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs <briefmail at list-jcpa.org>
Subject: Strategic Reality of Israel - Maj.-Gen. Amir Eshel - Vol. 12, No. 14
To: "Subscriber" <bernards at sbcglobal.net>
Date: Wednesday, June 13, 2012, 11:23 AM

 The full article is in the attached pdf file or you can go to our website:  http://www.jcpa.org/. 

Vol. 12, No. 14     13 June 2012 
Israel's Strategic Reality
Maj.-Gen. Amir Eshel

A nuclear Iran is going to create a dramatic change in the region. The first lesson certain leaders learned from the Arab Spring is to get nuclear capability and become immune to outside pressure. They consider Gaddafi to have made a big mistake when he gave up his nuclear program. No one would have dared to use force in dealing with him. No one would have dared to use force against Saddam Hussein in 1991 or 2003 if he would have had a nuclear capability.

Next, imagine the behavior of radical non-state actors under an Iranian nuclear umbrella. They will be more aggressive and will dare to do things that perhaps right now they are not willing to do. After the Mumbai terrorist attack, a senior Indian military officer replied to our question of why India did nothing, when everyone knew who was behind the attack. He said that when the other side has a nuclear capability and a will to use it, you think twice. 

>From Israel's perspective, the regional turmoil is not a "spring." A year ago our assessment was that these revolutions will be hijacked by others and this has come true. We think the risks for the mid-term and long-term are greater than the opportunities. These revolutions were hijacked by well-organized groups with a solid agenda and ideology, and the dominant tone is Islamist, colored by the Muslim Brotherhood. 

In Syria, the day after Assad's regime comes to an end there is a possibility that this major player will be removed from the radical axis. But we do not know who will be in control of Syria's huge stockpile of strategic chemical and biological weapons.

Israel's ability to achieve a decisive outcome from any conflict has also changed. We have the capability to hit any adversary very hard, but the last rocket may well be fired from the other side. There will be no more knockouts. In future conflicts, we may be exchanging fire until the last minute, and we will not see a white flag being waved. 
Maj.-Gen. Amir Eshel, Commander of the Israel Air Force, is former Head of the IDF Planning Directorate. 
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://list.freeman.org/pipermail/freemanlist2/attachments/20120613/f6bb85fc/attachment-0002.html>

More information about the Freemanlist2 mailing list