[Freemanlist2] Dr. Aaron Lerner - Commentary: War now better than greater disaster later

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Fri Mar 9 09:29:29 CST 2007


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The USA is not the cause of Israel's problems. The Left and the Arabs are just doing what they do naturally, trying to destroy Israel. It is the responsibility of the Zionist/Nationalist/Religeous Israelis to work for Israel's survival. A good first step would be to throw out the traitors in the Olmert government.
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Weekly Commentary: War now better than greater disaster later
Dr. Aaron Lerner                   Date: 8 March, 2007

Israel paid the cost in Lebanon for "ceteris paribus", the simplifying 
working assumption a generation of withdrawal advocates have employed in 
order to grossly understate the dangerous nature of their policy 
recommendations.

All other things were hardly equal.  The Arabs also made moves on the board.

And yet despite this rude awakening, the Olmert team appears to be no more 
the wiser in its approach towards the ever worsening situation in the Gaza 
Strip.

Yes.  Security officials have warned at every available forum that the 
Palestinians are exploiting the security hiatus (aka "cease fire") to 
transform the Gaza Strip into a possibly improved version of Hezbollah 
controlled southern Lebanon.

"Improved" because the sheer size of the Palestinian force being turned into 
a trained army is considerably larger than what Hezbollah could field in 
Lebanon.

There may not be money to feed hungry mouths in Gaza but there's no shortage 
of funds for soldiers, weapons and a massive unprecedented series of 
Palestinian military construction projects that promises to make Israeli 
operations much more costly than anything Israel has experienced until now 
in the Gaza Strip or West Bank.

But policy doesn't reflect this nightmarish reality.

Instead of sending a clear message that this security threat is in and of 
itself a clear and present danger - a
causus belli - the Olmert team seems to be saying that Israel is willing to 
not only continue with the security hiatus in the Gaza Strip but also to 
extend it to the West Bank if the Palestinians would be so kind as to limit 
their activities to preparing for war against the Jewish State.

As if there is no significance to these ongoing developments.

As if nothing is really changing in the basic equation.

Ceteris paribus

Sheer madness.

The message should not be that we want the Palestinians to stop using their 
weapons but instead that they must put down their weapons.

Put down their weapons today - not at some indefinite time in the future.

The message should be that the Palestinians have exploited the security 
hiatus to create a situation on the ground that will require Israel to 
employ military tactics that, though perfectly legal, won't look good on 
CNN.

Yes, it was foolhardy to think that retreating from Gaza would advance 
peace.

But it is the Palestinians and their supporters who are to blame, 
nonetheless, for exploiting the retreat and the security hiatus that 
followed.

And what after a massive brutal Israeli operation to chop down the monster 
that grew in "liberated" Gaza?

Some things are already clear:  an effective Israeli security envelope must 
be restored as must conditions for freedom of Israeli security action - just 
as there is in the West Bank.

This doesn't preclude either economic development or local autonomy.

But since freedom can't include the freedom to attack Israel, the 
Palestinians, by their behavior, have taken sovereignty off the agenda for 
the foreseeable future.

Now this may not be a message that some of in Foggy Bottom may want to hear. 
But it's the truth.

And the sooner we face up to reality, share it with the world and deal with 
it, the better off all of us will be.

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(Mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra at netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il
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